The actual chance of “Paradise M” gashapon provokes controversy, Taiwan officials accused of secretly revising the official announcement

I believe that friends who play mobile or online games will use the virtual lottery system such as gashapon and card draw in the game to obtain important characters or props. Of course, these will involve some chances of winning. Some game manufacturers, such as some games developed and operated in Japan, South Korea and even Mainland China, will list the chances of winning, and some will have a so-called “guarantee” mechanism, such as every lottery. Certain rare characters and props can be obtained for a certain number of times or for a certain amount of consumption. Although to a certain extent, this is to induce consumers to consume, but at least it is clear to buy and sell, which is still fair to a certain extent.

However, a recent mobile game “Paradise M” in Taiwan has caused a lot of controversy due to the large gap between the virtual lottery system and actual use. . This reveals that there are suspected game operators that can freely control the chances of the lottery and are suspected of distributing false information to consumers. At the same time, the market and laws lack supervision over such behaviors, so how can consumers as players protect their rights?

forward” “League of Legends” e-sports professional player, CEO of Taiwan’s e-sports team, and famous game live broadcaster Ding Te on his official channel accused Gamania, the operator of the mobile game “Paradise M”, for suspected of controlling the chances of the lottery, and suspected of distributing illegality to consumers. Real information. The reason is that Gamania once stated in an announcement that the chance of winning the virtual lottery system of the Taiwan server “Paradise M” is the same as that of the Korean server, about 10%. Of course, this does not mean that every 10 lottery draws can be won once. Dante said that he has been playing this game for a long time, and he is a very resourceful player. The money he has spent on this game has been millions of Taiwan dollars, but he has always doubted the actual chance of the official lottery draw and the official claim. There is a big gap of 10%, so he recently conducted two virtual lottery draws for real money and silver on the live broadcast, which cost a total of 2.71 million Taiwan dollars (approximately HKD 750,000). As a result, for the first time, there were 175 consecutive draws and only 4 draws. In, the winning rate is around 2.3%. In the second actual measurement, there were 300 draws, and only 7 draws were obtained, and the winning rate was also around 2.3%. Of course everyone understands how much luck is involved in the lottery. However, some people use mathematics to calculate. If the operator’s game Orange claims a 10% probability as a reference, the result indicates that Dinte has 175 draws in the first round, and the probability of winning 4 times is 100,0001, and the chance of winning the lottery 300 times is 7 times. The chance of this time is 5 million copies1.

Ding Te tried to confront the “Lineage M” operator Gamania in the live broadcast, but the factory not only failed to respond positively, but also made more excuses. The incident has not only attracted the attention of “Paradise M” players and netizens, even Taiwan’s legislator Miao Boya also asked officials of the Consumer Protection Division of the Executive Yuan about the incident. According to Ding Te and Miao Boya’s video, Gamania has revised the announcement of the chances of the game’s lottery, which seems to be deliberately concealing the question of suspected control probability.

Of course, different games have different settings for the chances of the draw, and some will only calculate the odds of each single draw independently. Some will be calculated based on the entire pot. Even with the same 10% chance of winning, there will be a big gap under different calculation conditions. Of course, in recent years, some games have added a “guarantee” mechanism. Some rare characters and props, so that players can at least get a certain return. However, the problem brought out by “Lineage M” this time is that with the continuous development of the game industry, there has always been information inequality between consumers and manufacturers, which affects the basic principles of fair trade. However, there seems to be a lack of a regulatory mechanism in the law to control the behavior of game operators to manipulate the virtual lottery system, and players often become a group of scams.