The peak of the third wave of Corona is near: IIT Madras said

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• India’s R value Reduced To 1.57 In The Week From January 14 21, Prediction Was That The Peak Of The Third Wave Is Likely Between February 1 And February 15

New Delhi7 hours ago

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The peak of the third wave of corona in the country will come in 14 days. Will go IIT Madras has claimed this in its study. It has been said that the cases of corona will reach the peak by February 6 i.e. in 2 weeks. The main reason for the third wave is believed to be the Omicron variant of the corona. According to the study, the R value, which tells the rate of spread of corona infection in India, has decreased from 2.2 to 1.57 between January 14 and January 21. In such a situation, there is a possibility of the third wave reaching the peak in the next 15 days.The Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) has recorded an R value of 1.57 between January 14 and 21. It was 2.2 between January 7 and 13. Between January 1 and 6 it was at 4. Last year between December 25 and 31, the R value was close to 2.9. All these analysis have been done by IIT on the basis of computational modeling.what is R value?
The R value shows the spread rate of the corona. Which tells how many people a person infected with corona is infecting. If the R value is more than 1 then it means that the cases are increasing and if it goes below 1 then the epidemic is considered over.

The situation in Delhi and Chennai is worrying

Corona Despite the cases being less, preparations are being kept complete. The photos are of Delhi where isolation ward has been made in the Banquet Hall in front of LNJP Hospital. According to the figures that have come out, Mumbai’s R value was found to be 0.67, Delhi’s 0.98, Chennai’s 1.2 and Kolkata 0.56. Dr. Jayant Jha, Assistant Professor, Department of Mathematics, IIT Madras, said that the data from Mumbai and Kolkata shows that the peak of corona infection there is now on the verge of ending. Whereas in Delhi it is still close to 1 and in Chennai it is more than 1.R value depends on three things
Jha said that the R value depends on three things – the risk of spread, the contact rate and the likely time interval in which the infection can occur. He said that now with the increase of quarantine measures or restrictions, it is possible that the rate of contact may come down and in that case the R value may decrease.

Based on the analysis we can tell this number, but it may change. It depends on how action is being taken on gatherings of people and other activities.

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